S&OP Decision Lab

Turn planning constraints into business decisions.

Free Excel-based decision models to help students, analysts and supply chain practitioners compare service, cost, capacity, stock and cash trade-offs across S&OP and MPS scenarios.

Most supply chain planning resources explain formulas separately. This site connects them into decision models.

Excel-based decision models to turn S&OP, MPS and ATP constraints into clear business decisions.

This is not a library of simple templates. S&OP Decision Lab builds decision models that combine demand, capacity, stock, planning zones, exception costs and financial trade-offs into one recommendation logic.

Flagship Tool

S&OP / MPS Decision Simulator

The first model of S&OP Decision Lab is a complete Excel-based decision simulator designed to help supply chain teams assess planning decisions under constraint.

The business problem

The goal is not only to calculate whether demand can be served. The goal is to compare business options: accept, delay, allocate, use overtime, subcontract, escalate or reject.

  • Service risk when demand changes late
  • Stock gaps hidden by aggregate availability
  • Capacity overload and expensive recovery options
  • Cash and working capital pressure from inventory decisions

Model structure

It connects S&OP demand, MPS planned receipts, ATP availability, projected available balance, capacity limits, frozen/slushy planning zones and financial trade-offs into one decision model.

  • S&OP plan at 6 months
  • MPS / master production schedule
  • Non-cumulative and cumulative ATP
  • PAB / projected available balance
  • Urgent orders
  • Capacity overload
  • Overtime
  • Subcontracting
  • Demand delay
  • Allocation
  • Frozen / slushy / free zones
  • Exception costs
  • No-stock gap
  • Safety stock
  • Reorder point
  • Cash / WCR / carrying cost
  • WACC / borrowing rate / opportunity cost
  • Quality, carbon and obsolescence costs
  • Business recommendation logic

Decisions covered

Accept, delay, allocate, overtime, subcontract, escalate or reject.

Screenshots and formulas

Show the model outputs, key formulas and embedded comments without overloading the page.

Download and feedback

Download the Excel simulator and share feedback to improve the next scenario releases.

Download Excel

Model Logic

Planning logic, explained without drowning the reader.

Short educational notes help users understand why the model combines planning, operational and financial views before making a recommendation.

S&OP vs MPS vs ATP

How demand planning, production planning and order availability connect.

Projected available balance

Why future stock position matters more than today's inventory snapshot.

Frozen vs slushy zones

How late changes create exception costs and escalation needs.

Capacity overload

How to compare overtime, subcontracting, allocation and delay.

Stock is not enough

Why availability can still be unattractive once capacity, cash and risk are included.

Scenario Library

The first model already covers several core planning scenarios.

Included in the current tool

Urgent order acceptance, capacity overload, overtime decision, subcontracting decision, demand delay, allocation under constraint, stock shortage / no-stock gap, replenishment trigger and frozen/slushy exception.

Future scenarios

Supplier delay, inventory reduction without service loss, service level recovery, working capital pressure and forecast bias correction.

About / Method

Built from operational experience, not spreadsheet theory alone.

Hugo Stephan

Supply Chain specialist and Lean Six Sigma Master Black Belt, with a track record of delivering EUR 1.9 million in savings through practical performance improvement, inventory governance and business-focused decision support.

EUR 1.9Msavings delivered
MBBLean Six Sigma
Supply ChainS&OP, MPS, ATP

A strong planning principle

In supply chain planning, the right decision is rarely based on one metric. A new order may look feasible from a stock perspective but become unattractive once capacity, planning zones, exception costs, service risk and working capital are considered.

The model connects operational constraints with financial impact.
It makes assumptions visible before decisions are escalated.
It translates analysis into a business recommendation.
What the model helps you decide?

It helps you get clear answers on transversal topics: order acceptance, ATP, PAB, capacity, exception costs, replenishment and the most balanced business scenario.

Can we accept a new urgent customer order?

The model compares stock availability, ATP, projected balance, capacity, planning zone and financial impact before recommending acceptance, delay, allocation or rejection.

Is the order inside the frozen, slushy or free planning zone?

The model highlights the planning zone and links it to exception cost, escalation need and operational feasibility.

Do we have enough ATP and projected available balance?

It distinguishes non-cumulative ATP, cumulative ATP and PAB so demand is not accepted on a misleading availability signal.

What happens if demand exceeds available capacity?

The simulator compares overtime, subcontracting, demand delay and allocation against service, cost, stock, cash and risk.

What exception cost should be considered?

Frozen and slushy changes can trigger overtime, expediting, subcontracting, quality, carbon, obsolescence and opportunity costs.

When should replenishment be triggered?

Reorder point, safety stock and future no-stock gaps help identify when replenishment is needed before the shortage becomes visible.

Which scenario is most balanced?

The recommendation logic weighs service, cost, stock, cash, working capital and operational risk to identify the best business option.